My Account Log Out
 
 
Ja'Marr Chase

Ja'Marr Chase Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Ja'Marr Chase Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-126/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ +107 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 61.4% of their plays: the 5th-highest rate on the slate this week.
  • The projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to call the 10th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.9 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually lead to increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume.
  • In this week's game, Ja'Marr Chase is anticipated by the predictive model to find himself in the 97th percentile among WRs with 11.2 targets.
  • Ja'Marr Chase has been a more important option in his offense's air attack this year (33.0% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (27.9%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Bengals being a massive -8.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Browns defense this year: 4th-fewest in football.
  • Ja'Marr Chase's sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 74.8% to 68.6%.
  • When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, Cleveland's unit has been phenomenal this year, profiling as the 5th-best in the league.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™