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Ja'Marr Chase

Ja'Marr Chase Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Cincinnati Bengals vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Ja'Marr Chase Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-136/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -136.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Bengals to be the 6th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 61.7% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Bengals are projected by our trusted projection set to run 67.2 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-highest number among all teams this week.
  • In this week's contest, Ja'Marr Chase is predicted by the predictive model to find himself in the 99th percentile among wideouts with 11.8 targets.
  • Ja'Marr Chase has been a much bigger part of his offense's passing attack this year (33.3% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (27.9%).
  • With an outstanding 7.4 adjusted catches per game (100th percentile) this year, Ja'Marr Chase places among the leading wide receivers in the NFL in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's spread suggests an extreme rushing game script for the Bengals, who are a massive favorite by 7 points.
  • The Cincinnati O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
  • Ja'Marr Chase's 68.4% Adjusted Completion% this year conveys a significant decrease in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 74.8% figure.
  • The Cardinals pass defense has given up the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (62.4%) vs. WRs this year (62.4%).

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