My Account Log Out
 
 
Ja'Marr Chase

Ja'Marr Chase Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Ja'Marr Chase Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-108/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Bengals to pass on 65.6% of their opportunities: the 2nd-highest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Bengals offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 27.24 seconds per snap.
  • The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (38.5 per game) this year.
  • The predictive model expects Ja'Marr Chase to garner 12.5 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile among wideouts.
  • Ja'Marr Chase's 73.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 64.7.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bengals offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all air attack metrics across the board.
  • Ja'Marr Chase's possession skills have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 74.8% to 67.3%.
  • As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Baltimore's collection of safeties has been tremendous this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™