reorder

Ja'Marr Chase Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Buffalo Bills vs Cincinnati Bengals

Ja'Marr Chase Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bengals are a 5.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Bengals to pass on 64.9% of their plays: the 2nd-highest clip on the slate this week.

In this game, Ja'Marr Chase is predicted by the projection model to rank in the 100th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 11.9 targets.

Ja'Marr Chase has been a more important option in his team's passing game this season (33.2% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (27.9%).

With a terrific 7.3 adjusted receptions per game (100th percentile) this year, Ja'Marr Chase ranks as one of the leading WRs in the game in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bengals are expected by the projection model to call only 63.8 offensive plays in this game: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.

Opposing offenses have averaged 29.0 pass attempts per game versus the Bills defense this year: 2nd-fewest in football.

When it comes to pass-blocking (and the importance it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the Bengals profiles as the 3rd-worst in football this year.

Ja'Marr Chase's receiving reliability have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 74.8% to 67.5%.

More Ja'Marr Chase Player Props

Ja'Marr Chase ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 14

Buffalo Bills vs Cincinnati Bengals

Ja'Marr Chase Receptions
Player Prop Week 14