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Ja'Marr Chase

Ja'Marr Chase Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Ja'Marr Chase Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-120/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cincinnati Bengals may pass less in this contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup QB Joe Flacco.
  • This game's line indicates a throwing game script for the Bengals, who are -5.5-point underdogs.
  • The predictive model expects the Bengals to be the most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 66.9% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to have 133.7 plays on offense run: the most among all games this week.
  • The Steelers defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, enticing opposing teams to attempt the most passes in the league (40.7 per game) this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 7th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a measly 53.1 plays per game.
  • The weatherman calls for 19-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • The Bengals O-line ranks as the 3rd-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a negative influence on all pass game stats across the board.
  • Ja'Marr Chase's 71.7% Adjusted Catch% this season illustrates a noteworthy diminishment in his receiving talent over last season's 74.8% rate.
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Pittsburgh's group of CBs has been outstanding this year, projecting as the 10th-best in football.

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