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Ja'Marr Chase

Ja'Marr Chase Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals

Ja'Marr Chase Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-114/+107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 64.2% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 5th-most plays run among all games this week at 130.1 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

Ja'Marr Chase has run a route on 97.8% of his team's dropbacks last year, ranking him in the 99th percentile when it comes to WRs.

In this week's contest, Ja'Marr Chase is expected by the model to place in the 99th percentile among wide receivers with 10.3 targets.

Ja'Marr Chase grades out as one of the leading WRs in the league last year, averaging an exceptional 7.5 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 100th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is suggested by the Bengals being a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest.

Opposing QBs have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense last year: 6th-fewest in the NFL.

The Cincinnati offensive line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL last year in protecting the QB, which has a negative influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.

Last year, the daunting Browns defense has given up a mere 63.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 8th-smallest rate in the NFL.

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