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Ja'Marr Chase

Ja'Marr Chase Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

New York Jets vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Ja'Marr Chase Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-135/+105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Ja'Marr Chase has run a route on 96.8% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, placing him in the 99th percentile among WRs.
  • THE BLITZ projects Ja'Marr Chase to notch 7.8 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 91st percentile among wideouts.
  • Ja'Marr Chase has been among the leading WRs in the league since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 4.2 receptions per game while ranking in the 82nd percentile.
  • Ja'Marr Chase's receiving reliability have been refined this season, with his Completion% rising from 65.7% to 69.7%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bengals are a 6.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 7th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all air attack stats across the board.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line has allowed their quarterback a mere 2.49 seconds before the pass (3rd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing game stats across the board.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have utilized play action on a measly 18.9% of their passing plays since the start of last season (4th-least in the league), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.

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