Ja'Marr Chase Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Ja'Marr Chase

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receptions

New York Jets vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 11:30 PM EST

Analysis

Ja'Marr Chase Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-135/+105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Ja'Marr Chase has run a route on 96.8% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, placing him in the 99th percentile among WRs.
THE BLITZ projects Ja'Marr Chase to notch 7.8 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 91st percentile among wideouts.
Ja'Marr Chase has been among the leading WRs in the league since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 4.2 receptions per game while ranking in the 82nd percentile.
Ja'Marr Chase's receiving reliability have been refined this season, with his Completion% rising from 65.7% to 69.7%.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 6.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 7th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Cincinnati Bengals O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all air attack stats across the board.
The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line has allowed their quarterback a mere 2.49 seconds before the pass (3rd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing game stats across the board.
The Cincinnati Bengals have utilized play action on a measly 18.9% of their passing plays since the start of last season (4th-least in the league), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.