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Ja'Marr Chase

Ja'Marr Chase Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Cincinnati Bengals vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Ja'Marr Chase Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 85.5 (-106/-101).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 85.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 85.5 @ -106.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cincinnati Bengals may take to the air less in this week's game (and hand the ball off more) because they be rolling out backup quarterback Joe Flacco.
  • The projections expect the Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 63.4% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to see 132.0 plays on offense called: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • The leading projections forecast Ja'Marr Chase to notch 12.4 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • Ja'Marr Chase has been much more involved in his team's passing game this season (33.9% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (27.9%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is implied by the Bengals being a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • The 5th-fewest plays in football have been called by the Cincinnati Bengals this year (a mere 52.6 per game on average).
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Jets, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 30.6 per game) this year.
  • The Cincinnati offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
  • Ja'Marr Chase's 82.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season marks a material reduction in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 98.0 mark.

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