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Ja'Marr Chase

Ja'Marr Chase Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Ja'Marr Chase Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 78.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 70.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 78.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bengals may pass less in this week's game (and call more carries) because they be forced to utilize backup QB Joe Flacco.
  • A throwing game script is indicated by the Bengals being a -5.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 66.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (2-mph wind) being projected in this game, while ground volume may slide.
  • The Steelers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in the league (39.2 per game) this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bengals are forecasted by the model to run only 62.4 total plays in this contest: the 7th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The Bengals have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 50.3 plays per game.
  • In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Cincinnati Bengals ranks as the 5th-worst in football this year.
  • Ja'Marr Chase's 69.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year marks a noteworthy drop-off in his receiving prowess over last year's 98.0 mark.
  • Ja'Marr Chase's 8.6 adjusted yards per target this year indicates a material regression in his receiving talent over last year's 9.7 rate.

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