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Ja'Marr Chase

Ja'Marr Chase Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Ja'Marr Chase Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 93.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 91.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 93.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Bengals to pass on 65.6% of their opportunities: the 2nd-highest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Bengals offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 27.24 seconds per snap.
  • The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (38.5 per game) this year.
  • The predictive model expects Ja'Marr Chase to garner 12.5 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile among wideouts.
  • After accruing 90.0 air yards per game last year, Ja'Marr Chase has made big progress this year, currently pacing 104.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bengals offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all air attack metrics across the board.
  • Ja'Marr Chase's 80.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year conveys a significant diminishment in his pass-catching ability over last year's 98.0 figure.
  • Ja'Marr Chase's possession skills have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 74.8% to 67.3%.
  • Ja'Marr Chase's 7.6 adjusted yards per target this season indicates a noteable drop-off in his receiving skills over last season's 9.7 mark.
  • Ja'Marr Chase's skills in grinding out extra yardage have worsened this year, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 5.94 mark last year.

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