Ja'Marr Chase Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Ja'Marr Chase

NFL · Player Props

Ja'Marr Chase

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 10, 2022 12:20 AM UTC

Analysis

Ja'Marr Chase Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 69.5 (-177/+138).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 69.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 69.5 @ -177.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bengals are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 6th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 63.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 71.8 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing offenses have averaged 45.0 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Bengals to call the least total plays among all teams this week with 60.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Ja'Marr Chase has notched far fewer air yards this season (104.0 per game) than he did last season (109.0 per game).
The Cincinnati Bengals O-line grades out as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
Ja'Marr Chase's receiving effectiveness has worsened this year, totaling a measly 8.23 yards-per-target vs a 10.20 rate last year.
The Baltimore Ravens safeties grade out as the 8th-best safety corps in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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