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Jamal Agnew

Jamal Agnew Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Jamal Agnew Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+810/-3000).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +1100 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +810.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 142.5 offensive plays run: the most on the slate this week.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.
  • When talking about pass protection (and the strong impact it has on all air attack statistics), the O-line of the Atlanta Falcons ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL this year.
  • Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 9th-highest rate in the NFL versus the Saints defense this year (73.3% Adjusted Completion%).
  • This year, the deficient Saints defense has surrendered a staggering 1.10 receiving TDs per game to opposing wideouts: the 8th-largest rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the 2nd-least pass-focused team in football (56.0% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Atlanta Falcons.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 28.9 pass attempts per game vs. the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the league.
  • The Saints defensive tackles rank as the 6th-worst collection of DTs in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

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