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Jamaal Williams

Jamaal Williams Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

New Orleans Saints vs Denver Broncos

Jamaal Williams Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+140/-185).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -185.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Saints are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Saints to run on 46.7% of their downs: the 7th-greatest rate among all teams this week.

The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to run the most offensive plays on the slate this week with 69.2 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

Jamaal Williams's 3.9 adjusted yards per carry this season indicates a noteworthy boost in his running skills over last season's 2.9 figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The New Orleans Saints have run the 10th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a mere 55.0 plays per game.

The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.

After accounting for 27.2% of his team's carries last season, Jamaal Williams has had a smaller role in the run game this season, currently accounting for just 9.0%.

The Denver Broncos defense has produced the 7th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, allowing just 4.02 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

The Broncos defensive tackles grade out as the 5th-best DT corps in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

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