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Jamaal Williams

Jamaal Williams Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Jamaal Williams Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the New Orleans Saints as the 6th-most run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 46.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to be the 6th-quickest paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, leading opposing offenses to average 27.62 seconds per play.

Jamaal Williams's ground effectiveness has improved this year, totaling 4.05 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a mere 2.93 rate last year.

The Buccaneers defense has produced the 5th-worst efficiency against opposing ground games this year, giving up 5.17 adjusted yards-per-carry.

The Buccaneers safeties project as the 29th-worst collection of safeties in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Saints will be rolling out backup quarterback Spencer Rattler in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.

Jamaal Williams has been much less involved in his offense's running game this season (8.9% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (27.2%).

More Jamaal Williams Player Props

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