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Jamaal Williams

Jamaal Williams Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

New Orleans Saints vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Jamaal Williams Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -123.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the New Orleans Saints to be the 8th-most run-heavy team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 42.7% run rate.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles defensive ends profile as the 2nd-worst group of DEs in football since the start of last season in regard to defending the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A passing game script is suggested by the Saints being a -3-point underdog in this game.
  • At the moment, the 4th-most sluggish paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the New Orleans Saints.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.
  • Jamaal Williams has been a much smaller piece of his team's ground game this season (10.4% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (27.2%).
  • Jamaal Williams's ground effectiveness (3.13 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in football since the start of last season (4th percentile among RBs).

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