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Jamaal Williams

Jamaal Williams Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Green Bay Packers vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Jamaal Williams Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Saints to run the most total plays on the slate this week with 69.8 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects Jamaal Williams to be much more involved in his team's running game in this game (24.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (8.2% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Saints are a huge 14.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Saints to be the least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 42.4% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may drop.
  • Jamaal Williams's 13.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season reflects a remarkable regression in his rushing ability over last season's 24.0 figure.
  • The Green Bay Packers defense owns the 8th-best efficiency against opposing running games this year, yielding just 4.29 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

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