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Jamaal Williams

Jamaal Williams Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 8

Detroit Lions vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Jamaal Williams Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+245/-395).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -371 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -395.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions offense as the 9th-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 27.70 seconds per snap.
  • Jamaal Williams has garnered 88.9% of his offense's red zone rush attempts this year, placing him in the 99th percentile among running backs.
  • The Detroit Lions offensive line profiles as the 4th-best in football this year in run blocking.
  • Jamaal Williams has run for 1.00 touchdowns per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the biggest figures in the NFL among running backs (99th percentile).
  • Opposing offenses have run for the 7th-most touchdowns in football (1.14 per game) vs. the Miami Dolphins defense this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Lions are a 4-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • The Miami Dolphins defensive ends profile as the 3rd-best collection of DEs in the league this year with their run defense.
  • The Miami Dolphins have stacked the box against opponents on 21.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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