Jamaal Williams Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Jamaal Williams

NFL · Player Props

Jamaal Williams

RB · Detroit Lions

Rushing TD

Detroit Lions vs Miami Dolphins · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 6:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Jamaal Williams Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+245/-395).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -371 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -395.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions offense as the 9th-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 27.70 seconds per snap.
Jamaal Williams has garnered 88.9% of his offense's red zone rush attempts this year, placing him in the 99th percentile among running backs.
The Detroit Lions offensive line profiles as the 4th-best in football this year in run blocking.
Jamaal Williams has run for 1.00 touchdowns per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the biggest figures in the NFL among running backs (99th percentile).
Opposing offenses have run for the 7th-most touchdowns in football (1.14 per game) vs. the Miami Dolphins defense this year.

Favors Under

The Lions are a 4-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
The Miami Dolphins defensive ends profile as the 3rd-best collection of DEs in the league this year with their run defense.
The Miami Dolphins have stacked the box against opponents on 21.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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