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Jamaal Williams

Jamaal Williams Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Jamaal Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Saints will be rolling out backup quarterback Spencer Rattler in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to be the 6th-quickest paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, leading opposing offenses to average 27.62 seconds per play.

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.

Opposing offenses have averaged 43.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Buccaneers defense this year: 2nd-most in football.

Jamaal Williams has been a much smaller piece of his team's offense this year, staying in the game for just 21.9% of snaps compared to 32.8% last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the New Orleans Saints to pass on 53.8% of their plays: the 6th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

The New Orleans Saints offensive line profiles as the worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative influence on all passing game stats across the board.

Jamaal Williams comes in as one of the worst RB receiving threats this year, averaging a measly 4.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 14th percentile among RBs.

Jamaal Williams has been one of the least efficient pass-catchers in the NFL when it comes to running backs, averaging just 3.54 adjusted yards-per-target since the start of last season while checking in at the 16th percentile.

With a poor 4.59 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (16th percentile) since the start of last season, Jamaal Williams rates as one of the top pass-game running backs in the NFL in picking up extra yardage.

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