|
|
Jamaal Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-110/-110).
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
|
|
The Saints are a giant 8-point underdog this week, indicating an extreme passing game script.The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower rush volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.2 pass attempts per game versus the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 8th-most in football.With an impressive 95.8% Adjusted Catch% (78th percentile) since the start of last season, Jamaal Williams stands as one of the most reliable receivers in football when it comes to RBs.The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has given up the highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (88.1%) to running backs since the start of last season (88.1%).
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
|
|
Our trusted projections expect the Saints to be the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 56.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the New Orleans Saints are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run only 61.8 offensive plays in this contest: the fewest on the slate this week.When it comes to pocket protection (and the significance it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the New Orleans Saints grades out as the worst in the NFL this year.With a poor 5.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (21st percentile) this year, Jamaal Williams rates among the bottom RBs in the pass game in the league.With a subpar 3.5 adjusted yards per target (17th percentile) since the start of last season, Jamaal Williams rates among the worst pass-catching running backs in football.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
