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Jamaal Williams

Jamaal Williams Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Green Bay Packers vs New Orleans Saints

Jamaal Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-160/+120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Saints are a huge 14.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Saints to run the most total plays on the slate this week with 69.8 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may drop.

Opposing teams have averaged 35.1 pass attempts per game versus the Packers defense this year: 9th-most in football.

Jamaal Williams's sure-handedness have improved this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate jumping from 94.9% to 100.0%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the least pass-oriented team in football (55.3% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Saints.

Jamaal Williams's 12.5% Route% this year reflects a significant reduction in his passing game workload over last year's 23.0% mark.

The Saints O-line ranks as the worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all air attack metrics across the board.

Jamaal Williams checks in as one of the bottom RBs in the pass game this year, averaging just 4.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 10th percentile when it comes to RBs.

This year, the strong Packers defense has yielded a meager 81.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing running backs: the 10th-best rate in the NFL.

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