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Jamaal Williams

Jamaal Williams Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

New York Giants vs Detroit Lions

Jamaal Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+117/-156).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -156.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Lions are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 130.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Jamaal Williams has posted a whopping 3.0 air yards per game this year: 84th percentile among RBs. (That may not sound like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

Jamaal Williams's talent in grinding out extra yardage have been refined this year, accumulating 6.78 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs just 4.54 mark last year.

The New York Giants pass defense has displayed poor efficiency versus running backs this year, allowing 6.91 yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions as the 8th-least pass-heavy team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 58.1% pass rate.

The forecast calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

Opposing teams have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game versus the New York Giants defense this year: 9th-least in football.

The Detroit Lions O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.

Jamaal Williams has notched a lot fewer receiving yards per game (6.0) this year than he did last year (12.0).

More Jamaal Williams Player Props

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