Jamaal Williams Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

My Account Log Out

reorder

Jamaal Williams

NFL · Player Props

Jamaal Williams

RB · Detroit Lions

Receiving Yards

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 13, 2022 9:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Jamaal Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-104/-126).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -109 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -126.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lions are a 3-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
Jamaal Williams has accrued a colossal 3.0 air yards per game this year: 79th percentile among running backs. (That may not sound like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
Jamaal Williams's talent in grinding out extra yardage have gotten a boost this season, notching 6.78 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a mere 4.54 rate last season.
The Chicago Bears pass defense has exhibited weak efficiency versus running backs this year, conceding 6.24 yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-most in football.
The Chicago Bears defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.51 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-slowest in football since the start of last season.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 8th-least pass-centric team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.6% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 29.0 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense this year: 2nd-least in football.
The Detroit Lions O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
Jamaal Williams has accumulated quite a few less receiving yards per game (7.0) this season than he did last season (12.0).

More Jamaal Williams Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow