Jalin Hyatt Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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NFL · Player Props

Jalin Hyatt

WR · New York Giants

Receiving Yards

New Orleans Saints vs New York Giants · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 8:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Jalin Hyatt Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Giants are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of a focus on passing than their normal game plan.
Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Giants are expected by our trusted projection set to call 66.7 total plays in this contest: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The predictive model expects Jalin Hyatt to be much more involved in his offense's air attack in this contest (15.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (9.1% in games he has played).
Jalin Hyatt grades out in the 83rd percentile among WRs this year with a whopping 28.0% of his offense's air yards accumulated.

Favors Under

With a 58.6% rate of throwing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 7th-least pass-centric offense in football has been the New York Giants.
Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Saints, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 34.4 per game) this year.
As it relates to protecting the passer (and the effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the New York Giants profiles as the worst in the league this year.
With a subpar 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (2nd percentile) this year, Jalin Hyatt stands as one of the leading pass-catching WRs in the league in the open field.
The New Orleans Saints defense has given up the 6th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 133.0) versus WRs this year.