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Jalen Tolbert

Jalen Tolbert Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9

Dallas Cowboys vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Jalen Tolbert Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1300/-1400).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -940 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1400.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Dallas Cowboys have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 59.0 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The Cardinals defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, compelling opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (39.4 per game) this year.
  • The Arizona defensive tackles rank as the 5th-best group of DTs in the NFL this year with their run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3.5-point advantage, the Cowboys are favored this week, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their normal approach.
  • The leading projections forecast the Cowboys as the 7th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 60.9% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to see only 131.2 plays on offense run: the fewest among all games this week.
  • After totaling 53.0 air yards per game last season, Jalen Tolbert has seen a big decline this season, now averaging 38.0 per game.
  • Jalen Tolbert's 22.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 32.6.

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