My Account Log Out
 
 
Jalen Tolbert

Jalen Tolbert Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Denver Broncos vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Jalen Tolbert Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+790/-1100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -880 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is implied by the Cowboys being a -4-point underdog this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to be the 4th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 62.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The Cowboys have been the 10th-most pass-focused offense in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) this year with a 60.3% red zone pass rate.
  • The model projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 134.2 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Denver's group of DTs has been exceptional this year, projecting as the 7th-best in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • After accruing 53.0 air yards per game last year, Jalen Tolbert has produced significantly fewer this year, now pacing 36.0 per game.
  • Jalen Tolbert's 22.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 32.6.
  • When it comes to pass protection (and the influence it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Cowboys grades out as the 6th-worst in the league this year.
  • Jalen Tolbert's 55.1% Adjusted Completion Rate this year conveys a meaningful diminishment in his receiving ability over last year's 66.7% rate.
  • Jalen Tolbert ranks in the 1st percentile among wide receivers when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging a measly 0.00 per game.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™