My Account Log Out
 
 
Jalen Tolbert

Jalen Tolbert Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

New York Jets vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Jalen Tolbert Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+290/-375).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -305 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -375.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cowboys to pass on 61.2% of their opportunities: the 5th-greatest rate among all teams this week.
  • The 2nd-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a staggering 63.5 per game on average).
  • Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally mean increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and lower ground volume.
  • The leading projections forecast Jalen Tolbert to be a much bigger part of his offense's pass game near the end zone this week (19.4% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (13.6% in games he has played).
  • The New York Jets defensive tackles profile as the 2nd-best collection of DTs in the NFL this year with their run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Cowboys to run the 4th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Jets, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 28.2 per game) this year.
  • As it relates to pocket protection (and the ramifications it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Cowboys grades out as the worst in the NFL this year.
  • Jalen Tolbert's 57.6% Adjusted Completion Rate this year marks a meaningful decline in his pass-catching skills over last year's 66.7% rate.
  • This year, Jalen Tolbert has not caught any receiving touchdowns this year.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™