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At the moment, the 9th-most run-heavy offense in football near the end zone (45.7% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Dallas Cowboys.The Cowboys have played in the 9th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which should mean reduced pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack effectiveness when facing windier conditions in this game.Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Chicago Bears, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 29.8 per game) since the start of last season.While Jalen Tolbert has earned 16.9% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played since the start of last season, our trusted projections expect him to be a much smaller piece of Dallas's passing attack near the goal line in this week's game at 10.2%.In regards to pass protection (and the effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Cowboys ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.
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