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Jalen Tolbert

Jalen Tolbert Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Denver Broncos vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Jalen Tolbert Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+175/-230).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is implied by the Cowboys being a -4-point underdog this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to be the 4th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 62.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 134.2 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jalen Tolbert's 22.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 32.6.
  • When it comes to pass protection (and the influence it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Cowboys grades out as the 6th-worst in the league this year.
  • Jalen Tolbert's 1.7 adjusted receptions per game this season marks a noteable decline in his receiving prowess over last season's 2.9 rate.
  • Jalen Tolbert's 55.1% Adjusted Completion Rate this year conveys a meaningful diminishment in his receiving ability over last year's 66.7% rate.
  • The Denver Broncos pass defense has given up the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (59.7%) to WRs this year (59.7%).

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