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Jalen Tolbert

Jalen Tolbert Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Carolina Panthers vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Jalen Tolbert Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 6th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Cowboys this year (a staggering 61.0 per game on average).
  • While Jalen Tolbert has garnered 10.0% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be much less involved in Dallas's passing offense in this game at 2.8%.
  • When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Carolina's collection of LBs has been terrible this year, projecting as the 7th-worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread implies a running game script for the Cowboys, who are favored by 3 points.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to see only 126.5 total plays run: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • When talking about pass protection (and the effect it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Dallas Cowboys ranks as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year.
  • Jalen Tolbert's 1.7 adjusted catches per game this year illustrates a substantial regression in his receiving talent over last year's 2.9 mark.

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