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Jalen Tolbert

Jalen Tolbert Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Denver Broncos vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Jalen Tolbert Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is implied by the Cowboys being a -4-point underdog this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to be the 4th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 62.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 134.2 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • After accruing 53.0 air yards per game last year, Jalen Tolbert has produced significantly fewer this year, now pacing 36.0 per game.
  • Jalen Tolbert's 22.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 32.6.
  • When it comes to pass protection (and the influence it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Cowboys grades out as the 6th-worst in the league this year.
  • Jalen Tolbert has compiled significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (18.0) this year than he did last year (36.0).
  • Jalen Tolbert's 55.1% Adjusted Completion Rate this year conveys a meaningful diminishment in his receiving ability over last year's 66.7% rate.

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