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Jalen Tolbert

Jalen Tolbert Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Las Vegas Raiders vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Jalen Tolbert Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 9th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a whopping 59.1 per game on average).
  • The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.
  • This year, the shaky Raiders pass defense has yielded a monstrous 69.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 4th-biggest rate in the league.
  • This year, the porous Raiders defense has allowed the 8th-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing WRs: a staggering 8.61 yards.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders safeties grade out as the 3rd-worst safety corps in the league this year in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Cowboys, who are favored by 3.5 points.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cowboys to pass on 59.4% of their plays: the 8th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by the predictive model to have just 125.6 plays on offense called: the lowest number among all games this week.
  • The projections expect Jalen Tolbert to be a less important option in his offense's passing attack in this contest (0.8% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (7.6% in games he has played).
  • After accruing 53.0 air yards per game last year, Jalen Tolbert has seen a big decline this year, now pacing 33.0 per game.

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