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Jalen Tolbert Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-115/-115).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -115.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Cowboys boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and the model projects their pass/run mix to skew 7.0% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).Right now, the 8th-most pass-oriented offense in football (63.6% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Cowboys.This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.2 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.Jalen Tolbert's 38.7% Route Participation Rate this year shows an impressive growth in his passing attack volume over last year's 15.1% figure.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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This game's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Cowboys, who are a massive favorite by 9.5 points.Opposing squads have played at the 10th-most sluggish pace in the league (in a neutral context) against the Cowboys defense this year, averaging 28.19 seconds per play.Jalen Tolbert ranks as one of the weakest WRs in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging just 1.56 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 17th percentile.As it relates to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Seattle's group of CBs has been phenomenal this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the league.
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