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Jalen McMillan

Jalen McMillan Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Miami Dolphins vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Jalen McMillan Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-114/-101).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +102 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -101.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Miami Dolphins pass defense has surrendered the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (67.5%) vs. wide receivers this year (67.5%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread suggests a running game script for the Buccaneers, who are favored by 5.5 points.
  • The predictive model expects the Buccaneers as the 8th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 54.5% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects the Buccaneers to call the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.0 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Dolphins, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in football (just 31.5 per game) this year.
  • The Miami Dolphins safeties grade out as the 10th-best safety corps in football this year in covering receivers.

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