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Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Philadelphia Eagles vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Jalen Hurts Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-142/+127).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -142.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Eagles are forecasted by the projections to call 65.6 plays on offense in this contest: the 6th-most on the slate this week.
  • The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The Denver Broncos defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in football (38.2 per game) this year.
  • Jalen Hurts grades out as one of the most on-target QBs in the NFL this year with an exceptional 71.0% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 82nd percentile.
  • Opposing squads have run for the 3rd-fewest TDs in the league (0.50 per game) against the Broncos defense this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Eagles are a 4-point favorite in this game, indicating a running game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Eagles to pass on 50.8% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to be the most run-heavy team in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 53.4% red zone run rate.
  • The predictive model expects Jalen Hurts to throw 30.7 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the 3rd-fewest among all quarterbacks.
  • The projections expect Jalen Hurts to be much more involved in his offense's ground game near the end zone in this week's contest (41.0% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (28.6% in games he has played).

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