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Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11

Philadelphia Eagles vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Jalen Hurts Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+113/-138).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +132 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With an outstanding 68.9% Adjusted Completion% (76th percentile) this year, Jalen Hurts has been among the most on-target QBs in football.
  • With a remarkable ratio of 1.78 per game (81st percentile), Jalen Hurts ranks among the top touchdown throwers in the NFL this year.
  • The Detroit Lions defense has conceded the 6th-most passing TDs in football: 2.00 per game this year.
  • The Lions linebackers project as the 2nd-best unit in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Eagles as the 4th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 52.2% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles to be the most run-centric team in the league near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 52.5% red zone run rate.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projection model to have only 126.8 offensive plays called: the 4th-lowest number among all games this week.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 5th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 52.9 plays per game.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being forecasted in this game) generally correlate with worse passing efficiency, reduced pass volume, and increased rush volume.

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