Jalen Hurts TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

TD Passes

Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants · Week 8, 2025

Updated Oct 26, 2025 8:07 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Hurts TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+131/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +131.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may go down.
Opposing QBs have averaged 40.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Giants defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.
Jalen Hurts comes in as one of the most on-target quarterbacks in football this year with an outstanding 69.4% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 88th percentile.
With a terrific rate of 1.57 per game (78th percentile), Jalen Hurts places among the best TD throwers in the NFL this year.

Favors Under

With a 7-point advantage, the Eagles are a massive favorite in this game, suggesting much more of a reliance on running than their typical game plan.
The leading projections forecast the Eagles as the 2nd-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 51.9% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Right now, the least pass-focused offense in the NFL near the end zone (47.0% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Philadelphia Eagles.
The predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles offense to be the 2nd-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 29.63 seconds per snap.
In this week's contest, Jalen Hurts is anticipated by our trusted projection set to total the 5th-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 31.3.

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