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Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts TD Passes
Player Prop Week 8

Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Jalen Hurts TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+131/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +131.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may go down.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 40.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Giants defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.
  • Jalen Hurts comes in as one of the most on-target quarterbacks in football this year with an outstanding 69.4% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 88th percentile.
  • With a terrific rate of 1.57 per game (78th percentile), Jalen Hurts places among the best TD throwers in the NFL this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 7-point advantage, the Eagles are a massive favorite in this game, suggesting much more of a reliance on running than their typical game plan.
  • The leading projections forecast the Eagles as the 2nd-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 51.9% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Right now, the least pass-focused offense in the NFL near the end zone (47.0% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Philadelphia Eagles.
  • The predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles offense to be the 2nd-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 29.63 seconds per snap.
  • In this week's contest, Jalen Hurts is anticipated by our trusted projection set to total the 5th-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 31.3.

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