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Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts TD Passes
Player Prop Week 17

Buffalo Bills vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Jalen Hurts TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+140/-170).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Eagles are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
  • As it relates to pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Philadelphia Eagles ranks as the 9th-best in football this year.
  • Jalen Hurts has been one of the top TD passers in football this year, averaging a terrific 1.50 per game while checking in at the 81st percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 52.5% of their plays: the 4th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The leading projections forecast the Eagles to be the least pass-centric offense in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 46.5% red zone pass rate.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 7th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 54.9 plays per game.
  • The predictive model expects Jalen Hurts to attempt 30.5 passes in this contest, on balance: the 3rd-fewest among all QBs.

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