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Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts TD Passes
Player Prop Week 14

Los Angeles Chargers vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Jalen Hurts TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+167/-173).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +177 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +167.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being called for in this game) generally mean increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air attack volume, and lower ground volume.
  • Jalen Hurts has been among the leading touchdown passers in football this year, averaging a stellar 1.58 per game while ranking in the 84th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Eagles to pass on 52.8% of their opportunities: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to be the least pass-heavy team in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 47.5% red zone pass rate.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the model to see just 124.9 offensive plays called: the lowest number among all games this week.
  • The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a lowly 53.5 per game on average).
  • Our trusted projections expect Jalen Hurts to attempt 30.9 passes in this contest, on average: the fewest among all QBs.

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