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Jalen Hurts TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-130/+100).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.The Cowboys defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (37.4 per game) this year.Jalen Hurts has been among the top TD passers in the league this year, averaging a stellar 1.60 per game while checking in at the 76th percentile.This year, the porous Dallas Cowboys defense has been torched for a staggering 76.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 3rd-largest rate in the league.This year, the feeble Cowboys defense has been gouged for a monstrous 2.30 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing quarterbacks: the 2nd-biggest rate in football.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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With a 3-point advantage, the Eagles are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 4th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 53.7% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.At the moment, the least pass-centric team in football near the goal line (47.4% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Philadelphia Eagles.Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by our trusted projection set to see only 126.1 total plays run: the 2nd-lowest number out of all the games this week.The 9th-lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a lowly 54.3 per game on average).
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