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Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts TD Passes
Player Prop Week 8

Cincinnati Bengals vs Philadelphia Eagles

Jalen Hurts TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+175/-240).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -210 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -240.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 3-point advantage, the Eagles are favored in this game, indicating more of a focus on running than their usual approach.

The Eagles have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a staggering 59.7 plays per game.

Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being called for in this game) typically cause increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and reduced rush volume.

The Bengals defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (36.6 per game) this year.

Jalen Hurts comes in as one of the most accurate passers in the league this year with an excellent 67.8% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 75th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the least pass-centric team in football in the red zone (44.7% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Eagles.

The projections expect the Eagles to run the 10th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

In this week's game, Jalen Hurts is projected by the projections to average the 10th-fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 32.3.

More Jalen Hurts Player Props

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