Jalen Hurts TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

TD Passes

Philadelphia Eagles vs Cleveland Browns · Week 6, 2024

Updated Oct 14, 2024 12:06 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Hurts TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+135/-165).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see 131.8 total plays called: the 4th-highest number among all games this week.
The 5th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Eagles this year (a colossal 60.5 per game on average).
The Cleveland cornerbacks profile as the 5th-worst group of CBs in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 54.8% of their chances: the 7th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
The projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 2nd-least pass-heavy team in the league near the goal line (in a neutral context) right now with a 46.1% red zone pass rate.
Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to rely on the passing game too much against the Cleveland Browns, averaging the 7th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 30.6 per game) this year.
This year, the tough Browns defense has yielded a measly 60.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 2nd-lowest rate in the NFL.

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