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Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts TD Passes
Player Prop Week 12

Los Angeles Rams vs Philadelphia Eagles

Jalen Hurts TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+160/-213).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -182 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -213.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Eagles are forecasted by the predictive model to run 67.3 plays on offense in this contest: the 4th-most among all teams this week.

The 7th-highest number of plays in football have been called by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a whopping 60.2 per game on average).

The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while ground volume may decline.

Jalen Hurts rates as one of the most accurate QBs in the league this year with a remarkable 68.8% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 80th percentile.

This year, the deficient Los Angeles Rams defense has been gouged for a massive 1.70 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing QBs: the 7th-biggest rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is implied by the Eagles being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.

The predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 4th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 51.8% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 2nd-least pass-focused offense in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 44.8% red zone pass rate.

Our trusted projections expect Jalen Hurts to throw 32.2 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 9th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.

Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Los Angeles Rams, averaging the 7th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 31.8 per game) this year.

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