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Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts TD Passes
Player Prop Week 10

Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles

Jalen Hurts TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+170/-230).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +180 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +170.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Eagles are forecasted by the projection model to run 66.3 total plays in this contest: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.

The 8th-most plays in football have been called by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a monstrous 59.8 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Jalen Hurts's throwing accuracy has improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 65.9% to 69.5%.

The Dallas Cowboys defense has allowed the 10th-most touchdowns through the air in football: 1.62 per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Eagles are a massive 7.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.

The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 50.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The model projects the Eagles to be the least pass-centric team in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 44.4% red zone pass rate.

The projections expect Jalen Hurts to throw 30.7 passes in this contest, on balance: the 5th-fewest among all quarterbacks.

Opposing offenses have averaged 28.6 pass attempts per game versus the Cowboys defense this year: fewest in the NFL.

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