Jalen Hurts TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

TD Passes

Arizona Cardinals vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Hurts TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 65.5 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line grades out as the best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
Jalen Hurts's throwing precision has gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% increasing from 60.3% to 66.3%.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 51.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 3rd-least pass-heavy team in the NFL near the end zone (in a neutral context) right now with a 52.4% red zone pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to attempt 32.3 passes in this game, on average: the 6th-least of all quarterbacks.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 8th-least in the NFL.

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