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Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-111/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 33.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ -103.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 7-point advantage, the Eagles are a massive favorite in this game, suggesting much more of a reliance on running than their typical game plan.
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Eagles to run on 48.1% of their plays: the 2nd-highest rate among all teams this week.
  • The model projects Jalen Hurts to total 9.3 carries in this week's game, on balance: the most out of all quarterbacks.
  • Jalen Hurts isn't afraid to be involved in the run game, making up 26.1% of his offense's rushing play calls this year, putting him in the 97th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.
  • This year, the imposing New York Giants run defense has given up a measly 5.28 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's running game: the 30th-lowest rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles offense to be the 2nd-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 29.63 seconds per snap.
  • The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may go down.
  • Jalen Hurts has run for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (29.0) this year than he did last year (43.0).

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