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Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 43.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 42.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Eagles are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a running game script.
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Eagles to run on 49.0% of their downs: the 3rd-greatest clip on the slate this week.
  • The 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Philadelphia Eagles since the start of last season (a staggering 59.4 per game on average).
  • This week, Jalen Hurts is predicted by the projections to total the most rush attempts out of all quarterbacks with 8.9.
  • Jalen Hurts isn't afraid to run the ball himself, making up 28.0% of his offense's rushing play calls this year, placing him in the 95th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles offensive strategy to skew 2.8% more towards the passing attack than it did last season (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Kevin Patullo now calling the plays.
  • The model projects this game to see the fewest plays run among all games this week at 122.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • With a terrible total of 4.8 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) (24th percentile), Jalen Hurts places among the bottom running QBs in the league this year.
  • Since the start of last season, the stout Buccaneers run defense has allowed a puny 98.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing squads: the 5th-best in the NFL.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers linebackers project as the 5th-best unit in football since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

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