Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Rushing Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 17, 2025

Updated Dec 28, 2025 9:12 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Eagles to run on 47.5% of their downs: the 5th-highest clip on the slate this week.
Our trusted projections expect Jalen Hurts to accrue 7.9 carries this week, on balance: the 2nd-most out of all QBs.
Jalen Hurts isn't afraid to be involved in the run game, making up 23.0% of his offense's carries this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile among QBs.
Opposing squads have rushed for the 3rd-most adjusted yards in the league (144 per game) vs. the Bills defense this year.
The Buffalo Bills safeties rank as the 30th-worst unit in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 7th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 54.9 plays per game.
Jalen Hurts's 27.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year shows a noteable regression in his running skills over last year's 43.0 mark.
With an awful rate of 4.7 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) (18th percentile), Jalen Hurts has been as one of the weakest running QBs in the league this year.

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