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Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Buffalo Bills vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Eagles to run on 47.5% of their downs: the 5th-highest clip on the slate this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect Jalen Hurts to accrue 7.9 carries this week, on balance: the 2nd-most out of all QBs.
  • Jalen Hurts isn't afraid to be involved in the run game, making up 23.0% of his offense's carries this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile among QBs.
  • Opposing squads have rushed for the 3rd-most adjusted yards in the league (144 per game) vs. the Bills defense this year.
  • The Buffalo Bills safeties rank as the 30th-worst unit in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Eagles are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 7th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 54.9 plays per game.
  • Jalen Hurts's 27.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year shows a noteable regression in his running skills over last year's 43.0 mark.
  • With an awful rate of 4.7 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) (18th percentile), Jalen Hurts has been as one of the weakest running QBs in the league this year.

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