Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Rushing Yards

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 16, 2025

Updated Dec 20, 2025 9:27 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A running game script is suggested by the Eagles being a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 3rd-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 48.8% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
This week, Jalen Hurts is predicted by our trusted projection set to accumulate the most rush attempts among all quarterbacks with 8.6.
Taking on 23.0% of his offense's run game usage this year (95th percentile among quarterbacks), Jalen Hurts's mobility marks him as a serious threat as a ball-carrier.
Opposing teams have rushed for the 5th-most adjusted yards in the league (136 per game) against the Commanders defense this year.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles offense to be the 4th-most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.32 seconds per play.
Jalen Hurts's 26.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year reflects a remarkable drop-off in his rushing prowess over last year's 43.0 figure.
Jalen Hurts's ground effectiveness (4.57 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the league this year (17th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks).
As it relates to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Washington's group of DEs has been terrific this year, profiling as the 7th-best in the NFL.

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