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Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Philadelphia Eagles vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-135/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 36.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme running game script is suggested by the Eagles being a massive 7-point favorite this week.
  • The leading projections forecast the Eagles as the 3rd-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 49.6% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are expected by the projections to run 66.3 total plays in this contest: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The weather forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • The model projects Jalen Hurts to accumulate 9.1 rush attempts in this week's contest, on balance: the most out of all QBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 8th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Eagles this year (a measly 54.3 per game on average).
  • Jalen Hurts's 28.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year marks a significant drop-off in his rushing talent over last year's 43.0 rate.
  • Jalen Hurts's rushing effectiveness (4.32 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the league this year (17th percentile among QBs).

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