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Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-105/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Eagles are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Eagles to run on 46.3% of their downs: the 4th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
  • This week, Jalen Hurts is predicted by our trusted projection set to accrue the most rush attempts out of all quarterbacks with 9.0.
  • The leading projections forecast Jalen Hurts to be a more integral piece of his offense's running game in this contest (30.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (23.1% in games he has played).
  • Opposing teams have run for the 6th-most adjusted yards in the NFL (137 per game) vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by our trusted projection set to see only 126.1 total plays run: the 2nd-lowest number out of all the games this week.
  • The 9th-lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a lowly 54.3 per game on average).
  • The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.
  • Jalen Hurts's 27.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year signifies a remarkable reduction in his rushing ability over last year's 43.0 figure.
  • Jalen Hurts's 4.26 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season signifies a remarkable regression in his running talent over last season's 5.03 mark.

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